Dovish CPI: A Super Surge For Gold?

President of Graceland Investment Management
April 9, 2024

In war, the best soldiers prepare for surprise.

This is the dollar versus gold chart.

Twin H&S top meltdowns are in play. Most mainstream analysts and investors in the West were surprised by the violence of the latest collapse of their beloved fiat.

In the East, the big gold bug focus isn’t on predicting the price like it is in the West. The awesome focus is on…

Getting more gold! Various investor tools and tactics are available to accomplish this mission on an ongoing basis.

For the last couple of years, I’ve warned investors of the world that a broadening formation was in play on this weekly gold chart.

Broadening patterns indicate a loss of control in a market. In this case, there’s a loss of control in the world’s largest market, which is US fiat.

For another look at it (on a weekly line chart):

Breakouts from broadening patterns tend to be extremely violent. 

That was the case for the US stock market in 1929 (to the downside), and it’s the case for gold versus all fiat now.  

Note how firm the dollar index and interest rates have been during gold’s recent “rocket ride”. If the dollar index and rates were to lose their firmness and tumble, could gold quickly surge to $3000 or even $4000?  

The answer is yes!

In terms of preparation… preparation to get more gold… all precious metals investors should be prepared to buy gold, silver, and the miners with significant aggression on a price dip to $2100.

That’s unlikely to happen in the short or medium term (if ever). So, to identify key buy zones, a look at the daily gold chart is required. 

The price action is superb, and the buy zones are clear. 

Sentiment? 

This is the weekly BPGDM sentiment index chart. The index and RSI are both in the overbought zone, but the key 14,7,7 series Stochastics oscillator has yet to arrive there.

The best sentiment indicator is the individual investor’s own mirror. When they look into it does the investor see greed, confidence, or fear? Also, note that in 1995 US stock market oscillators and sentiment indicators went into the greed zone… and stayed there for the next five years.

With gold, it’s only a matter of time before three billion Chindians totally dominate global gold price discovery. When that happens, sentiment will go into the confidence zone… and probably stay there for 200 years. 

A daily focus on the big picture is critical for investors as inflation, recession, the 2021-2025 war cycle, a wildly overvalued stock market, debt ceiling horror, and incredible empire transition dominate the investing landscape. I cover this big picture 5-6 times a week in my flagship Galactic Updates newsletter. At $199/year, investors feel the price is too low, but I’m offering a $179/15mths “special offer” that investors can use to get in on the winning action and meticulous analysis. Click this link to get the offer or send me an email and I’ll get you a payment link. Thanks!

The 2021-2025 war cycle?

Jamie Dimon is correct that the American government (and its fiat) is “on the ropes”, but he fails to address the fact that the United States military, given its huge debt-funded size, is the most pathetic in the history of empires.

The US government has failed to win a war since WW2 (with the “grand” exceptions of its “meddler wars” in Panama and Grenada). Worse, the government has left mammoth citizen carnage in the wake of each of its war mongering schemes gone awry.

The predictable bungling is of course part of what has fuelled the weekly gold chart broadening formation breakout and vertical surge in the price.

The miners? Eastern gold bugs are obsessed with gold jewellery, and Western bugs are obsessed with gold stocks. Both are in “awesome mode” now, and probably will stay that way for the next two years.

For a look at a key GDX weekly chart:

While GDX is overbought by some measures, a dovish print for the key CPI (consumer inflation) report tomorrow could put gold stocks into “hyperdrive” and send GDX to $40!

For a look at the daily chart:

Even if there is a pullback, it would simply make the chart even more bullish than it is now. A right shoulder of a huge inverse H&S pattern would form, with target of about $40-$42.

Currently the greatest chart in the world, showcasing the most upside potential for the asset in play… gold and silver mining stocks.  

Note the stunning inverse H&S pattern on the chart and the additional inverse H&S in play for Stochastics around the right shoulder low. Here’s the bottom gold stocks line: Chinese and Indian gold bullion buyers are poised to put global gold market sentiment into the confidence zone and keep it there. This sets up gold stocks to outperform everything on the planet… for at least the next 10, 20, and maybe 200 years! 

Thanks!

Cheers

St

Special Offer For Gold-Eagle Readers: Please send me an Email to [email protected] and I’ll send you my free “Get Jacked With J!” report. I highlight key GDXJ stocks that could surge after Fed man Jay’s speech this week! Both core and trading position tactics are included in the report.

Stewart Thomson

Galactic Updates

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Stewart Thomson is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am-9am. The newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered point form. Giving clarity of each point and saving valuable reading time.

Risks, Disclaimers, Legal

Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced and qualified investment advisors and get numerous opinions before taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the world is: 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products. There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:

Are You Prepared?

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Stewart Thomson is president of Graceland Investment Management (Cayman) Ltd. Stewart was a very good English literature student, which helped him develop a unique way of communicating his investment ideas.  He developed the “PGEN”, which is a unique capital allocation program. It is designed to allow investors of any size to mimic the action of the banks.  Stewart owns GU Trader, which is a unique gold futures/ETF trading service, which closes out all trades by 5pm each day. High net worth individuals around the world follow Stewart on a daily basis.  Website: www.gracelandupdates.com.


In 1934 President Franklin Delano Roosevelt devalued the dollar by raising the price of gold to $35 per ounce.
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