first majestic silver

Market And Metals Move Into Bull Phases

March 19, 2016

A solid week for markets as they rested well until the Federal Reserve released their statement, which kept rates the same and lowered expectations of four rate hikes this year to two.  And that’s even a stretch in my view, but I’ve been wrong before.

In general, stocks are acting great. Consequently, we’re heavy into long positions -- and looking to hold as long as they’ll allow us. However, it does look like the 2016 lows are in place and there is nowhere to go but up from here.

The metals were choppy…but held key levels and still look to be setting up to go higher.

I’ve had a lot of emails this week…expressing they are happy that I’m on the bull side once again. However, others are saying it doesn’t matter what I think…and I agree.

I really did think we’d have a move under $1,000 in gold to really put the panic in the perma-bulls. However, we only got to the $1,060 area, which put in a nice base there. The point being, it doesn’t matter what I think, nobody cares what I think, including myself.

The only thing people care about is how I interpret the action and charts…and that is often right. I sometimes get myself into trouble with stocks by heeding my thinking instead of listening to the charts. The charts are right, not me…and I just read them and mostly follow them…but I am human and make silly mistakes based on my thoughts sometimes.

Anyhow, the point is, listen to the charts. And right now they are telling me stocks and metals are heading higher.

Gold rose just 0.39% for the week as it chops around. We tested and held the 21-day average, which coincides with the $1,240 support area. A break above $1,280 remains the next buy level.

Gold continues to look good…but it won’t be, nor should we want it to be, a straight moon-shot.

Silver gained 2.03% for the week…but couldn’t breakout in the end. I never like to see failed breakouts as we saw Friday in silver…but as long as we remain above $15.20…we’re in good shape.

We tested the 21-day average and $15.20 support level well this past week -- and $16 is the next buy level.  In the event the breakout above there holds on a closing basis, then we should be off to the races.

Platinum rose just 0.95% this past week. Platinum held the important 200-day moving average as well as the 21-day average at the horizontal support level at $960.

Now we’ve got a nice bull flag that points to a breakout higher above the $990 buy area in the week ahead. Great action for platinum which is following gold and silver strength very well.

Palladium gained 2.57%, winning the week in the precious metals arena. Palladium based very nicely just under the 200-day moving average -- and should have enough steam to power through that level at $600 anytime.  Super action that should take us to $675 before we see any real consolidation.

In general stocks are moving very well and -- metals are also showing nice steady and slow strength off major lows as we are now trending higher for the first time in years.

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Warren Bevan is a renowned trader who’s honed his craft over the years learning the styles and techniques of Jesse Livermore, William O’Neil and Dan Zanger and forming his own unique style. He focuses on making money and going hard when the right markets present themselves and during the rest of the time focuses on capital preservation.  He focuses on the leading fast moving stocks during the good times.  He is a proud Canadian, traveler, explorer, and consummate market geek who tells it as he sees it. Warren’s website is www.wizzentrading.com and his email address is [email protected]


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