Gold Bounces off Support Again and Internals Look Strong
Gold bounces off support again today with some indicators pointing to much higher prices.
GLD Gold ETF Fund - Daily Trading Chart
This week gold has been pulling back after last week's massive one day rally. Hopefully that rally was not a one-day wonder but rather a sign that smart money is still moving into gold and not most retail traders trying to make a quick buck.
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Gold Stocks/Gold Bullion Ratio - Weekly Chart
This chart shows we now have a clean breakout, which is extremely bullish for the price of gold. This signal is not fully confirmed until we have the closing price Friday at 4pm ET.
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GDX Gold Miner Stocks Fund - Daily Trading Chart
This chart shows a nice rally to the February resistance level with a small bull flag and a daily close above resistance. Wednesday's price action is very bullish but our support trend line is much to steep for gold stocks to maintain. Those with a high-risk appetite may like this, but I prefer to wait for a more conservative setup.
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The USD is Half Way Done It's Move
The Dollar broke down sharply a few weeks ago and is now forming a bear flag chart pattern. This pattern generally forms at the half way point of a move. If the trend continues, we can expect to see much lower prices for the USD in the next 1-2 weeks.
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Gold Trading Conclusion
While gold bullion is looking a little top heavy, the internals like gold stocks and the USD are shouting the opposite. Gold is currently at support, which is generally a good place to add to positions. If the price of gold breaks down from here, there is a clean exit point, which is a daily candle close below the support level on the GLD gold fund chart.