Gold Market Update
Failure of support in the $600 area has led to gold dropping back into the target zone for this move - the $560 - $580 area. It is regarded as a trading buy here for a probable trading bounce back towards the underside of the earlier support, which is now resistance, i.e. back to the $595 area, which is likely to occur within the next 2 to 3 weeks. Longer-term it is expected to back off again and dig deeper into the support zone over the next month or two, a good point for it to bottom being in the $540 - $560 zone, which should mark the completion of the corrective phase in force from May.
Silver Market Update
Clive Maund
Silver did its duty and plunged upon breaking down below the support in the $11.75 area. This drop brought it back to the target given in the last update, at $10.50, which it fell to intraday on Friday. Over the short-term, a period of up to 3 weeks, silver is expected to bounce, possibly as high as about $11.60, this being the underside of the former support that is now resistance. Beyond that, over the next month or two, it is expected to go into retreat again and dig deeper into the current support zone, possibly dropping as low as the $9.50 - $10.00 area. This should mark the end of the corrective phase in force since May.
Clive Maund, Diploma Technical Analysis
Kaufbeuren, Germany, 17 September 2006