first majestic silver

Gold, Stocks, & Miners: The Markets Get Wilder

President of Graceland Investment Management
July 6, 2023

America’s Independence Day holiday is over.

Sadly, now it appears to be mostly about independence from gold… with macabre dependence on debt, fiat, and violent meddling in faraway lands.

Double-click to enlarge. There’s a potential bull wedge on this daily gold chart. There’s also an imminent crossover buy signal for the 14,7,7 series Stochastics oscillator (at the bottom of the chart).

Double-click to enlarge this short-term SGOL (physical gold ETF) chart. John Wilder invented important technical indicators like RSI and Parabolic SAR. His moving averages are not as well-known…

But I urge investors to consider using them as vital tweaking tools at key buy and sell zones for gold, silver, and the miners.

John passed away a couple of years ago, and his legacy stands tall; in addition to his market work, he was a war vet and mechanical engineer.  

I consider his revolutionary technical analysis to be some of the greatest work ever done in the field.

The good news for investors is that if gold moves just $10 or $15 higher from here, a fresh Wilder moving averages buy signal will be triggered for SGOL, and of course for gold!

What about oil? Well, today is the first day of an important two-day OPEC meeting, and on that note,

Russia and Saudi Arabia have already announced additional cuts to supply… yet price is stagnant.

For some insight as to why that is,

It’s surreal that “The American Chickenhawk” (Biden) continues to keep the SPR spigot open, but he does.

If the price of oil rises significantly, US citizens will demand an end to his debt-funded war in Ukraine. By dumping 1-2 million barrels of SPR oil a week, the Chickenhawk counteracts the supply cuts from OPEC.

For a glimpse at what could be next,

Double-click to enlarge this daily chart for oil. When oil was trading at $130 I urged investors to focus on key buy zones rather than price predictions, and the $65 buy zone was the one I focused on.

The next 48 hours of OPEC action likely determine whether the sideways action of the past few months is a base pattern launch pad or a pitstop enroute to my next buy zone at $40.

What is known is that oil is close to $65 now, and investors who haven’t bought should consider doing so.

If oil does begin to rally, will Biden open the SPR spigot even wider? He could, but he would draw significant heat if the number of SPR barrels drops too low… heat from even his own voters who have so far stayed quiet while he happily lords over the mindboggling devastation in Ukraine. 

A daily focus on the big picture is critical for investors as inflation, recession, the 2021-2025 war cycle, a wildly overvalued stock market, debt ceiling horror, and empire transition dominate the investing landscape. I cover this big picture 5-6 times a week with updates like this one, in my flagship Galactic Updates newsletter. At $199/year, investors feel the price is too low, but I’m offering a $179/15mths “special offer” that investors can use to get in on the winning action and meticulous analysis. Click this link to get the offer or send me an email and I’ll get you a payment link. Thanks!

What about the stock market? 

Double-click to enlarge this QQQ chart. I highlight some Wilder moving averages and while there’s no crossover sell signal, the buy signal is very “long in the tooth.”

Double-click to enlarge this QQQ weekly chart. Note the overbought Wilder RSI and the huge resistance zone… which is a significant danger zone for gullible investors who are buying now.

On the daily chart, there’s a developing bear divergence of RSI with the price. It certainly “bears” watching! 

A sell signal on the Wilder moving averages that happens with the QQQ ETF in the danger zone could be followed by a very violent decline in the price. Investor caution is highly recommended.

What about the miners? 

Double-click to enlarge this short-term GDX chart. A Wilder moving average buy signal is in play.

Double-click to enlarge. On the daily chart, there’s a potential bull wedge for gold. On this magnificent GDX chart, it’s fully formed… and functioning like a champ!

While the overbought US stock market flashes a possible bear divergence with RSI and price, there’s a bull divergence in play for GDX… and for many miners too.

The US jobs report is Friday, and some consolidation is likely for the miners after the surge of the past few days, but the technical green shoots are getting greener. If Johnny Wilder was here with us today, I’ll dare to suggest… he would be impressed!

Thanks!

Cheers

St

Special Offer For Gold-Eagle Readers: Please send me an Email to [email protected] and I’ll send you my free “Get Jacked With J!” report. I highlight key GDXJ stocks that could surge after Fed man Jay’s speech this week! Both core and trading position tactics are included in the report.

Stewart Thomson

Galactic Updates

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Stewart Thomson is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am-9am. The newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered point form. Giving clarity of each point and saving valuable reading time.

Risks, Disclaimers, Legal

Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced and qualified investment advisors and get numerous opinions before taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the world is: 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products. There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:

Are You Prepared?

********

Stewart Thomson is president of Graceland Investment Management (Cayman) Ltd. Stewart was a very good English literature student, which helped him develop a unique way of communicating his investment ideas.  He developed the “PGEN”, which is a unique capital allocation program. It is designed to allow investors of any size to mimic the action of the banks.  Stewart owns GU Trader, which is a unique gold futures/ETF trading service, which closes out all trades by 5pm each day. High net worth individuals around the world follow Stewart on a daily basis.  Website: www.gracelandupdates.com.


The periodic symbol for gold is AU which come from the Latin for gold aurum.
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