Metals Are Nearing Resistance While Markets Are Acting Strong
Markets rested and worked off the extreme overbought conditions they were experiencing last weekend. However, on Thursday they began to breakout…and then rested a bit on Friday.
Obviously, seasonality is working well so far and markets and stocks are in our favour.
I’m starting to build positions now -- and we are seeing more and more stocks setup so it won’t be long until I have a full load of stocks to work in my portfolio.
I’m still looking for a strong end to the year as this bull market continues to grow.
The metals moved well…and higher this past week. However, gold is nearing resistance…and I still do not think the major low is yet in. But I’ve been wrong before and will readily flip sides if I see the right evidence.
Gold rose 2.38% this past week on good volume.
Nonetheless, I still see the $1,000 as the area we need to hit before a major low is in place. Moreover, we need to see the dominant trend switch again upward.
Gold has resistance at $1,200 now -- and that has been strong support AND resistance areas dating back to 2009. Consequently, it will be difficult to sustain a move above that region at this point in time.
Last week I talked about the chances of seeing history rhyme by seeing gold show a breakout failure…and that is likely as gold attempts to move past $1,200 if it can get there at all. Frankly, I’d consider a breakout failure at $1,200 a good short area.
Silver gained 1.86% this past week…but couldn’t move up, like gold.
A break above the $16.20 level can be bought with $16.75 the likely area to lock in gains. So far, silver is having trouble getting away from the 200-day moving average as so often happens.
I do not think the major low is yet in for silver either. So if silver can get to $16.75 and stall, then that would also be a short level as well.
Platinum gained a solid 4.12% on the week. If platinum can continue above this $1,025 area, then $1,075 would be the next resistance level. I’d consider a short if platinum stalls at $1,075.
Palladium lost 1.74% and is having trouble with the 200-day moving average.
If palladium can best $725, then $750 is the next resistance area to look for…but as always the caveat exists that platinum and palladium follow gold and silver…so they must be watched carefully.
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