Stock Market Crash Declines Around Recessions - Video
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We show the charts and data of the stock market declines during each of the past 12 recessions. On average, the stock market makes a peak a few months before the recession and declines sharply until the recession is three to four months from its end. Thus, the length of the recession is an important factor in the severity of the stock market decline.
In the last 9 recessions (ex Covid), the recession decline began on average 1.3 months before the start of the recession and lasted an average of 7 months. If the recession lasts longer than 6 to 8 months, then the recession decline will be more than 20%.
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Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premium, a publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection, as well as TheDailyGold Global, an add-on service for subscribers which covers global capital markets. He is also the author of the 2015 book, The Coming Renewal of Gold’s Secular Bull Market which is available for free. TheDailyGold.com was recently named one of the top 50 Investment Blogs by DailyReckoning and WalletHub.
