The last several weeks have seen a return of all the ingredients for a gold rally, from an “oversold” technical condition which sparked a short-covering rally to a spike in Treasury yields which caused investors to look for safe haven...
On Wednesday the Fed released the minutes from its July 30-31 policy meeting. Minutes from the meeting showed that most members of the FOMC agreed that a reduction of the stimulus was not yet appropriate. Only a few thought it was time...
Aside from the fact that the 10-Year Treasury Yield Index (TNX) is rising, one reason for the recent equity market sell-off is the uncertainty generated by the Fed’s latest announcement concerning the future of QE3.
After the Fed’s latest 2-day policy meeting it announced on Wednesday that it would continue its $85 billion per month asset purchase program. The major indices fluctuated from positive to negative throughout the day, as is typical of a...
Frequently I receive emails from clients who ask variations on the theme of the QE-driven stock market in light of the long-term Kress cycles. For instance, one client recently wrote: “I really like your work but lately am struggling to...
On the global market scene, Russia has been one of the major laggards this year. The Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX), a reflection of the country’s stock market, fell 22% from its high earlier this year. RSX was testing a three-year low...
Many analysts predict that banks will be hurt by higher interest rates. Yet the best leading indicator of banks’ future profits – financial sector stocks – aren’t showing the slightest concern by this prospect.
On May 3, the bond market fired the proverbial “shot heard ‘round the world.” Treasury yields began a two-month climb to levels not seen in almost two years. Many analysts proclaimed the end of the 30+ year interest rate decline. The...
Was former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker correct when he said concerning quantitative easing that its “beneficial effects…appear limited and diminishing over time”? That’s the $85 billion question that Wall Street is asking right now. An...
To many observers, deflation was a thing of the past in the wake of the QE3. The Fed’s asset purchases, which drove down bond yields to record lows, were thought to have tamed the global deflationary problem once and for all. What they...