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Dollar Gaining Ground On Better Than Expected Economic Data

March 30, 2015

Washington (Mar 30)  The dollar is up against all of its major competitors at the start of the new trading week, thanks to some better than expected economic data. Personal income and pending home sales both exceeded the expectations of economists. Investors will be watching for a number of important economic reports this week, including the ISM manufacturing report on Wednesday and the jobs report for March on Friday.

Personal income in the US increased by slightly more than expected in the month of February, according to a report released by the  Commerce Department  on Monday, although the report also showed that personal spending rose by less than anticipated.

 The Commerce Department  said personal income climbed by 0.4% in February, matching the upwardly revised increase seen in January. Economists had been expecting income to rise by 0.3%, which would have matched the growth originally reported for the previous month.

Meanwhile, the report also showed that personal spending inched up by 0.1% in February after dipping by 0.2% in January. Spending had been expected to edge up by 0.2%.

Pending home sales in the US increased by much more than expected in the month of February, according to a report released by the  National Association of Realtors  on Monday, with pending sales jumping to their highest level in twenty months.

NAR said its pending home sales index surged up 3.1% to 106.9 in February after climbing 1.2% to a slightly downwardly revised 103.7 in January. Economists had expected the index to edge up by 0.3%.

An interest rate hike "may be warranted" this year, as long as the US economic recovery is sustained, Federal Reserve Chairman  Janet Yellen  said Friday afternoon.

"With continued improvement in economic conditions, an increase in the target range for that rate may well be warranted later this year," Yellen said at San Francisco Fed conference.

"Of course, the timing of the first increase in the federal funds rate and its subsequent path will be determined by the Committee in light of incoming data on labor market conditions, inflation, and other aspects of the current expansion."

 Greece  will present a list of economic reform proposals to international creditors today after Prime Minister  Alexis Tsipras'  earlier reform plans met resistance from EU leaders. Tsipras said in remarks published Sunday he is looking for a "happy ending" in his current talks with EU creditors. "I am confident there will be a happy ending soon to this first phase of the negotiations, and to normalizing the situation," Tsipras said.

The dollar has risen back to around  USD1.0820  against the Euro Monday afternoon, from a 3-week low of around  USD1.1050  on Thursday. The US currency is currently challenging the intraday high from Friday's session.

Eurozone economic sentiment rose for the fourth successive month to its highest level in nearly four years as lower oil prices, weak euro and measures of the central bank boosted confidence among firms and consumers, survey figures from the  European Commission  showed Monday.

The economic sentiment index climbed more-than-expected to 103.9 from 102.3 in February, which was revised from 102.1. Economists had expected a score of 103. The latest reading was the strongest since  July 2011  , when it was 104.

 Germany's  consumer prices increased for the second straight month in March, preliminary data from the statistical office Destatis showed Monday. Consumer prices rose 0.3% from last year after increasing 0.1% in February. The annual increase came in line with expectations.

The buck rose to over a 1-week high of  USD1.4751  against the pound sterling Monday, but has since eased back to around  USD1.4825  .

The  UK  mortgage approvals rose to a 6-month high in February, the Bank of  England  reported Monday. The number of mortgages approved for house purchases rose to 61,760 in February from 60,707 in January. This was the highest since August and above the expected level of 61,000.

Optimism among British financial services firms rose to its highest level in more than a year in the first quarter as profitability improved in most sectors despite weak growth in business volumes, results of a survey by the  Confederation of British Industry  revealed Monday.

The latest  CBI/PwC Financial Services Survey  showed that 59% of financial services firms were more optimistic than three months ago, while 9% were less optimistic. That gave a balance of +50%, which was the strongest since  December 2013  when it was +68%.

The greenback hovered around the  Y119.200  level against the Japanese Yen early Monday, but has since broken out to a 1-week high of  Y120.105  .

Industrial output in  Japan  dipped 3.4% on month in February, the  Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry  said on Monday - falling for the first time in three months. The headline figure missed forecasts for a decline of 1.9% following the 3.7% increase in January.

Source: RTTnews

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