As the market has now struck the upper end of my long-term target set many years ago, it seems many have embraced this bull market, to the extent that they see no reason for it to end. However, that is usually the time one has to pay attention for the potential...
Gold Editorials & Commentary
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November 18, 2024
I'm going to urge people not to lose sight of the big picture. This is just a normal intermediate cycle correction price, as we got stretched too far to the upside as sentiment got too bullish.
Now that the election in the US has been settled, we're starting to see the various powers around the globe react strategically and financially.
November 17, 2024
Below we look at the direction of gold in the context of announced Trump policies, the USD debate and comical debt markets. Needless to say, Donald Trump recently won the US election, and as JFK Jr. said of this “impolitic” figure, a “revolution” is coming.
From the comments made in my prior articles, Gold was in mid-term topping range, and with that was at risk to a larger-degree price decline. That decline phase is now in full force with the action in recent weeks, and should have more to run before forming the next...
The Dow Jones all this week, closed daily in scoring position in its BEV chart below, between the BEV 0.0% and -5.0% lines, closing on Friday with a BEV of -1.91%. Which leads me to believe the Dow Jones, my proxy for the broad stock market, has more upside before...
For you valued regular readers of The Gold Update, price’s demise across these past three weeks ought be no surprise. Into Halloween week, Gold vis-à-vis its near-term smooth valuation line ran better than +150 points “too high”. Then into the StateSide election,...
Gold sector cycle is down. Trend is up for USD and down for gold & gold stocks. Looking for a new set up to trade the short side.
November 16, 2024
As President-elect Donald Trump moves forward with plans to shake up the federal establishment, precious metals markets are experiencing a price shakeout.
Judy Shelton has spent her career advocating for sound money. Her latest book, Good as Gold: How to Unleash the Power of Sound Money, makes an up-to-date case for reinstituting a gold standard. Her intriguing conclusion is that the dollar can be reconnected to gold...
November 15, 2024
No market moves up or down in a straight line. And the time for the “up” in miners is here.
The major gold miners’ latest quarterly results proved epic! Thanks to record gold prices, they achieved record revenues, record bottom-line earnings, and record operating cash flows. Such amazing profits drove down gold-stock valuations to their most-undervalued...
Here are today's videos and charts.
November 14, 2024
For investors seeking exposure to gold, mining stocks and ETFs like GDX, which holds a diversified basket of approximately 46 gold mining companies weighted by market capitalization, may seem appealing due to their leverage to the price of gold. However, while...
The insane neo-Keynesian policies implemented by the Biden-Harris administration have created persistent inflation and record levels of debt with two objectives: to bloat Gross Domestic Product and jobs with public spending and government jobs.
We now move from the stage where I was, in a lonely manner, predicting for months inflation would rise near the end of summer to the stage where everyone is in on it because it has become obvious, so the rise in today’s report is suddenly no surprise.
There's been a lot of change in the structure of the gold market in the past week since the election.
November 13, 2024
We saw a small move up in the precious metals sector (and then back down), which is completely in tune with what I wrote yesterday, and as such, it doesn’t change the outlook.
The Wall Street Journal published an in-depth story Tuesday about an armed drug cartel that’s illegally mining gold from a China-owned mine in Colombia.
Gold fell 2.42% today in continuation of last week’s price action. Gold is experiencing a normal pullback after its whopping 50% rise this year. I'm not worried one bit. I'm now watching $2,600 in COMEX futures and the uptrend line as key support levels. Ideally, I’...
More voices are harmonizing with mine by saying that the recession already began this year. (Which is not to say they are saying it with any awareness of what I’ve been saying, as I don’t suppose they are.) Today, Ed Dowd says that Donald Trump is inheriting “a turd...
James Madison called public debt “a public curse.” We're currently cursed to the tune of $35.9 trillion and counting. To make matters worse, the size of the debt is exacerbating the debt.
Two days after Donald Trump became the first American since Grover Cleveland to win nonconsecutive presidential elections, the Federal Reserve announced a quarter percent cut in interest rates. Following this announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell held a press...
We saw a lot of gold and silver short covering by the banks in the latest COT report. Ahead of this week's report, which will show us what the banks did while the price was declining in the days after Trump's election.
November 12, 2024
Is the US stock market now in a blow-off stage, like in 1929? If so, how will the coming collapse affect gold, silver, and mining stocks?
Triple Flag reported earnings this past week, which topped earnings per share (EPS) overestimates given by analysts covering the company. Triple Flag also beat revenue estimates of $67.18M with an actual $73.7M in revenue reported.
Gold is fundamentally money, but there is demand for the yellow metal in industry and technology. Industrial and tech demand accounted for 83 tons of gold in the third quarter, a 7 percent year-on-year increase. It was a 2-ton increase quarter to quarter.
Before your head explodes after reading the title of this article, I am going to ask you to maintain an open mind as you read through this article. It may cause you to begin to see the market as it is rather than as you believe it to be. In other words, try not to...
We discuss the reasons why a secular bear market will begin sometime in the next four years. Its a commentary on the conditions, not on Trump or his policy.
A lot of the market activity this year has been driven by the buildup to the election. But now that it's over, what's next for gold and silver? We've seen an historic rally for both metals in 2024. But with Trump on his way back into office, what will be driving...