We might be moving into a minor daily cycle low. Gold came within a few dollars of its all-time record high and a profit taking event is underway here. Gold potential spots for a pullback bottom is around the $1,960 area but a more likely spot is the $1,920 area for...
Gold Editorials & Commentary
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March 14, 2022
March 13, 2022
Last week's trading saw gold forming its high in early-week trading, here doing so with Tuesday's spike up to the 2078.80 figure. From there, a sharp decline was seen into late-week, with the metal dropping all the way down to a Friday low of 1960.90 - before...
Gold formed a Massive Cup and Handle Bullish pattern that started at its September 2011 peak and continued through February 2022. This eleven-year pattern just completed. This pattern was Bullish and projected an upside breakout, with a price target of 3,000.
Barring your having been cave-bound in recent weeks, you well know our guardedness about Gold's recent geo-politically-driven rise as to its being suspect to demise given such historical wont.
If I were to speak of the sum total of the market’s action so for 2022, what would I say? Maybe something from Bob Dylan; something like “A Hard Rain’s a Gonna Fall.” Forget about financial assets being historically overvalued. They have been for decades, since...
March 12, 2022
Our proprietary cycle indicator is UP. GLD is on short term buy signal. GDX is on short term buy signal. Trend is up for the dollar.
When I was student in the Stagflation 70’s, the only two budget items about which I cared were beer and gasoline. My hockey scholarship paid for everything else so I was largely insulated from the ravages of inflation, unlike many of my contemporaries that would...
In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire unpacks the geopolitical after-effects of sanctions against the Russian Central Bank, and the resulting global shortfall in physical gold and silver supply.
March 11, 2022
In August of 2020 we noted the danger signals for gold based on sentiment excess coming out of the acute pandemic fear phase. We also noted the need for a multi-year bullish Cup to build a proper handle after that excess. A Cup’s handle is actually a downward...
There are many regularities in nature. After winter comes spring. After night comes day. After the Fed’s tightening cycle comes a recession. This month, the Fed will probably end quantitative easing and lift the federal funds rate. Will it trigger the next economic...
The mighty and long-impervious US stock markets have suffered a major trend reversal this year, rolling over into a full-blown correction. Volatility has exploded with the Fed’s epic monetary spigots being shut, inflation raging out of control, and a new Fed-rate-...
In Part I we discussed how the fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine will lead to inflation, but not in the way most people think. In Part II we discuss the possibility of Russia repudiating the dollar and going on a gold standard. Can they do it? How would...
If there was ever a time in history when one should hold gold, silver and hard assets now appears to be the time. Gold and silver, in particular, have shown their value in time of crisis. When Venezuela went into hyperinflation gold and silver- along with all the...
March 10, 2022
“It’s possible to have more than one reserve currency.” These are the recent words of Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve. It’s a stunning admission from the one person who has the most control over the US dollar, the current world reserve currency....
Gold tried to break its record, but it was the eighth time it failed in this regard. Despite conditions, the level above $2,000 remains unattainable.
As an Indian and as an Asian, I am not surprised by the current rise in gold and silver. The only concern is the snail’s pace of rise. Gold price has risen this year but still way below actual valuation.
We wrote about this point recently. But we are saying it again because the message is so important. IF YOU DON’T HOLD IT THEN YOU DON’T OWN IT (IYDHITYDOI).
March 9, 2022
Dan Oliver - War leads to unintended consequences. We now have oil, natural gas, wheat, corn, many strategic commodities like nickel, copper, and gold at record highs or nearing records.
March 8, 2022
Nobody wants to own gold, and then - everyone wants in. That seems to be the reoccurring cycle in precious metals anyway. With fears mounting across markets, it appears we have reached another supply/demand tipping point.
It’s rare that I suggest that gold market investors should engage in “price chasing.” The 1970s were a time to do it. So was 2009. What about today? Today, the answer is… yes!
Nobody expected the Russian inquisition! Nobody expected such a fierce Ukrainian defense, either. Of course, the situation is still very dramatic. Russian troops continued their offensive and – although the pace slowed down considerably – they managed to make some...
Gold’s next big surprise could be on the downside. Continued strength in the US dollar throughout the current Russian – Ukrainian conflict is the indicator.
Gold headed for its biggest weekly gain since May, lifted by demand for haven assets as Russia escalated the conflict in Ukraine. Prices for the precious metal climbed amid falling Treasury yields, after earlier spiking on news that Russia had attacked Europe’s...
Now is the time for traders to adapt to higher volatility and rapidly changing market conditions. One of the best ways to do this is to monitor different asset classes and track which investments are gaining and losing money flow. Knowing what the Best Asset Now is...
March 7, 2022
Crude oil did it again! Even though gold moved higher recently, crude oil soared so substantially that it stole practically the entire spotlight. Let’s take a look at it before moving to the precious metals sector.
For almost two years (starting in 2020 before you could see any consumer inflation at all), I have faithfully and consistently traced our trajectory toward scorching inflation that would cause a market disaster. Prior to that, inflationary burn-out was not an...
The gold price traded quietly sideways for an hour once trading commenced at 6:00 p.m. EST on Thursday evening -- and at 8 a.m. China Standard Time on their Friday morning, it took off higher, only to run into the short sellers of last resort a bit under an hour...
The Romans are said to have had a warning, brief and to the point as Latin often is, that translates as “Buyer beware!.” It would not be farfetched to believe that the same warning, phrased much the same, existed in Sumerian and other old languages long before Latin...
Marc Faber discusses the war in Europe which is leading us into energy and food shortages this year. The western countries banning Russia from SWIFT are leading to Russia and other abandoning the US Dollar.
March 6, 2022
My grandfather was a WWI veteran serving with the Canadian division of the British Army in most of the major battles in WWI in Europe, including Vimy Ridge and Passchendaele while fathering six children in the Toronto neighbourhood of Parkdale.