Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds around $2,610 ahead of Christmas Eve

NEW YORK (December 24) The Gold price remains relatively steady around the $2,611 mark, as market participants adjust to a more cautious outlook on US interest rates. The broader backdrop shows the US Dollar retaining its strength, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt a slower pace of rate cuts in the coming year. Fed officials have indicated that fewer rate cuts are likely than previously anticipated, with expectations for the federal funds rate to reach 3.9% by the end of 2025. This shift comes amid a slower disinflation process and the uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s policies on immigration, trade, and taxes.

The fresh Summary of Economic Protections (SEP) triggered a rise in US Treasury yields which tend to be seen as the opportunity cost of holding hold which is another explanation of the metal’s latest decline.

As the market watches these developments, Initial Jobless Claims data, due for release this Thursday, could introduce some volatility for the US Dollar. In addition, Nonfarm Payrolls figures for December, expected in the first week of January, will be closely scrutinized, with the labor market playing a key role in shaping Fed decisions. Despite these events, Gold remains under pressure, unable to break out of the current range.

FXStreet