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Gold price stuck in consolidation while nervousness picks up towards Trump’s inauguration

January 6, 2025

LONDON (January 6) Gold’s price (XAU/USD) stabilizes near $2,640 on Monday after a quick sprint higher on the first trading day of 2025 as traders were quite eager and quick to reopen their trimmed positions they had ahead of Christmas. Since then, Gold prices have started to soften a touch, despite US yields remaining rather elevated. 

Although Gold prices might be consolidating, the number of moving parts on the geopolitical front is picking up. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni broke out of the European joint stance and visited President-elect Donald Trump on her own accord. Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau looks set to resign this week, according to Bloomberg News

Daily digest market movers: Gold still has more room for consolidation

  • According to the Washington Post, President-elect Donald Trump is mulling to simplify its tariff approach by issuing a global tariff only on critical US imports. 
  • Markets are heading into the first normal trading week of 2025 with a very crammed economic calendar ahead, with the US Nonfarm Payrolls release on Friday as the focal point of the week.
  • The US 10-year yield rallied to 4.639% last week, a fresh 7-month high. This Monday, it is settling down near 4.62%. 
  • The CME Fedwatch tool is currently only showing a small 10% chance for a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut in January. Further on, expectations are for the Fed to remain data-dependent with uncertainties that could influence the inflation path once President-elect Donald Trump takes office on January 20. 
  • Several European countries released their individual Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) for the Services sector. France, Germany, and Spain saw a nice rebound, with some minor beats on expectations. 

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