Gold Price Exclusive Update
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
To public readers of our updates, our cycle indicator is one of the most effective timing tool for traders and investors. It is not perfect, because periodically the market can be more volatile and can result in short term whipsaws. But overall, the cycle indicator provides us with a clear direction how we should be speculating.
Investors
During a major buy signal, investors can accumulate positions by cost averaging at cycle bottoms, ideally when prices are at or near the daily 200ema.
During a major sell signal, investors should be hedged or in cash.
Traders
Simply cost average in at cycle bottoms when prices are at or near the daily 200ema; and cost average out at cycle tops when prices are above the daily 50ema.
Gold sector is on major buy signal.
GLD is on short-term buy signal.
GDX is on short-term buy signal.
XGD.to is on short-term buy signal.
GDXJ is on short-term buy signal.
Analysis
COT data is supportive for overall higher gold prices.
The decline appears to be corrective.
The big picture remains the same as the multi year bottoming pattern continues.
The breakout earlier this year remains in play.
The big picture in the dollar has become clear these past few weeks, as an ending diagonal is taking shape, which when broken, a new down leg will begin.
Summary
Long-term – on major buy signal.
Short-term – on buy signals, correction is in progress and may be ending.
Gold sector cycle is down.
COT data is favorable for overall higher metal prices.
Maintain positions and stay the course for now.
Disclosure
We do not offer predictions or forecasts for the markets. What you see here is our simple trading model which provides us the signals and set ups to be either long, short, or in cash at any given time. Entry points and stops are provided in real time to subscribers, therefore, this update may not reflect our current positions in the markets. Trade at your own discretion.
We also provide coverage to the major indexes and oil sector.