Carl Swenlin
Carl Swenlin is a self-taught technical analyst, who has been involved in market analysis since 1981. A pioneer in the creation of online technical resources, he is president and founder of DecisionPoint.com, a premier technical analysis website specializing in stock market indicators, charting, and focused research reports. Mr. Swenlin is a Member of the Market Technicians Association.
Carl Swenlin Articles
A subscriber said he had heard a number of talking heads claiming that we are in a secular bull market, and he wondered what I thought. My gut reaction was to say "no way", but then I got to thinking about it.
The chart for USO (U.S. Oil Fund) has been confusing for some time. Most recently USO rallied sharply from its November low, only to drop sharply from its December high, taking back nearly all of the gains. Typical action over the last...
The Gold and Silver Index (XAU) represents a group of precious metal mining stocks. It is in a major decline from the 2010 top.
After making a bear market low in June, gold rallied about 20%. Then from the August top, price headed back down for a possible retest of the June low. There is a good chance that the retest will fail, sending bear market prices to lower...
Research published by Yale Hirsch in the Trader's Almanac shows that the market year is broken into two six-month seasonality periods. From May 1 through October 31 is seasonally unfavorable, and the market most often finishes lower than...
Markets have been running with lower than normal volume for quite some time, but this week I noticed that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was running with only about half its 250-EMA of volume, and I wondered if there was some...
On Thursday gold broke down below important support, declaring, in our opinion, that the bear market rally from the June low is over. Today the decline continued, but at a much slower pace, so we should probably look for a short snapback...
I don't want to put too great a shine on the sentiment indicator readings, but they have changed quite radically this week and deserve some coverage.
We use the 20+ Year T-Bonds ETF (TLT) as the surrogate for long bond timing. As of 5/20/2013 TLT is on a Trend Model NEUTRAL signal, which means that the model has been out of bonds but not short. The LT Trend Model, which informs our long...
While the S&P 500 Index has recently made new, all-time highs, a trio of indicators says we should be alert for market weakness.
One of our favorite sets of indicators is the PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator), ITBM (Intermediate-Term...
