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Where Is The Growth Going To Come From?

June 20, 2017

Stocks continue to trade at nosebleed valuations.

According to Fact Set, the S&P500 is currently trading at a P/E of 21. This is well above its 10-year average of 16.7. And bear in mind, eight of those ten years (from 2010-2017) were when stocks were already overvalued.

Source: Fact Set.

So the market is extremely overvalued today, even compared to a period in which it has been overvalued.

This begs the question… just what justifies these valuation?

It isn’t the US economy. GDP growth has been anemic for eight years and the current spate of data indicates the US economy is rolling over: the NY Fed forecasts 2017 GDP growth to be a measly 1.9%.

So the economy isn’t justifying the stock market trading at these levels.

But what about the Fed? If the Fed is juicing the markets, then stocks should be trading in the stratosphere due to the excess liquidity.

Well, the Fed isn’t providing liquidity right now. In fact, the Fed is both RAISING Rates (making the cost of money more expensive in the system) AND withdrawing $10 billion in liquidity per month from the financial system (soon to be $20 billion per month in 4Q17).

So the economy doesn’t justify the stock market trading where it is… and the Fed is actively pulling liquidity from the system to stop risk-taking.

A Crash is coming.

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes from it.

We offer a FREE investment report outlining when the market will collapse as well as what investments will pay out massive returns to investors when this happens. It's called Stock Market Crash Survival Guide.

We made 1,000 copies to the general public.

As I write this, only 87 are left.

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To pick up one of the last remaining copies…

CLICK HERE!

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent investment research firm based in the Washington DC-metro area with clients in 56 countries around the world.

Graham’s clients include over 20,000 retail investors as well as strategists at some of the largest financial institutions in the world (Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, and Raymond James to name a few). His views on business and investing has been featured in RollingStone magazine, The New York Post, CNN Money, Crain’s New York Business, the National Review, Thomson Reuters, the Glenn Beck Show and more.


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