The current pullback in the precious metals sector is a buying opportunity. Since trading at a closing high of $2,064 an ounce on August 6, gold bullion has declined 8.34% as of this writing.1 Gold mining shares have followed suit,...
Gold appears to have formed a solid base since bottoming at year-end 2015 at $1060.00/oz. Through 9/29/17, the metal’s price increased 11.10%, even after a sharp pullback from its early September 2017 high of $1355. As of September 30,...
In our view, the systemic risks that existed prior to the presidential election have not suddenly vanished. Most important among these is a massive bond-market bubble. Close behind, equity valuations remain at historically extreme levels....
An acute shortage of readily marketable physical gold is developing that we believe will deepen in years to come. This possibility seems to be unrecognized by those who are short the gold market through paper contracts.
Financial market turmoil has been what was needed to rekindle investment interest in gold, as we have argued in our investor letters this year, here and here. The onset of a bear market is what we envisioned in making this statement. A...
John Hathaway, CFA, co-portfolio manager of the Tocqueville Gold Fund (TGLDX), was featured in an interview with The Octavian Report entitled, "Wealth Insurance: The Case for Owning Gold."
What is required to restore investor interest in gold? In our opinion, a prolonged bout of financial-market adversity would suffice. After all, the cornerstone of coordinated central-bank policy since 2008 has been the levitation of...
Gold and gold mining shares appear to be as contrarian today as in 1999, before a decade‐plus run in which bullion rose nearly seven‐fold in US dollar terms. For those who are concerned that the financial markets are overvalued, we believe...
It is a little-known fact that gold outperformed all currencies in 2014, except for the US dollar. In dollar terms gold declined 1.7 percent, but as the table below shows, it posted solid gains against all other currencies. While the...
The “strength” in the dollar appears to have been the proximate cause of the recent selloff in gold. The rise in the dollar index (DXY) is taken by most to mean that the dollar is actually strong. The chart below shows the inverse...