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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

Summary for the busy executive

Introduction

Seems like gold has probably bottomed relative to commodities

It certainly was a dramatic front page for the most recent issue of MacLean's Canada's weekly magazine (Canada's version of Time/Newsweek).

In early morning trading the U.S dollar rallied in anticipation that Alan Greenspan's Congressional testimony would include an upbeat forecast for the U.S. economy and hope for a narrowing of its fiscal and trade imbalances.

The fact that so many gold commentators are at present so "definite" about gold's impending rise has caused me to stop and think about the subject from base principles.

Never in my twenty years of observing the markets have so many clear strong signals been presented for view. They cover the entire spectrum. They span the globe. They are worth a quick review.

A consensus is building among market observers that bonds defy all logic. The falling dollar should make dollar bonds fall, too.

Introduction

The P&F chart below - which gave an important "buy" signal this week - has been a priority object of my scrutiny for some months

Below is an extract from a commentary posted at www.speculative-investor.com on 5th February 2005.

After some tinkering around with time periods, the following daily bar chart of the ratio of $GOLD:$CRB started to reveal a couple of its underlying secrets.

Letter to a reader commenting on my criticism of Mises

Dear Mr. West:

The following article concludes that in the current economic environment, regardless of your predisposition as an investor (optimistic, pessimistic or neutral) the message of the charts is that a long term oriented investment in go

"A quiet achiever in the Philippines, with potential for exciting developments during 2005 and 2006"

The violence of today's move in the gold shares has reminded me that there is too much technically based speculation (gambling) in the market place.

Platinum is often referred to as the 'noble metal'. Webster's definition of Noble is "high and great in character, showing greatness, outstanding or excellent, fine splendid, magnificent"

Now that the reality of the falling dollar has finally registered with the average American, and has been covered broadly by the media and has even been the subject of parody on Saturday Night Live, some individuals are raising the

The title of this week's report is based on a famous quote by the Nobel Prize winning monetary economist Milton Friedman. His view, anchored in the quantity theory of money, is that excessive money creation spawns inflation.

1. The Chinese Calendar System

It means "forbidden" in German, and there are many "forbiddens" in our lifetime. Adultery, prohibition, and drugs instantly come to mind, but there are others. Did you know that a simple poker game is illegal in most places?

ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST SILVER DEPOSITS IN CENTRAL MEXICO



Business Summary

"I was just trying to make some money."

In a recent and exceptionally lucid and well researched article by Professor Antal E.

For those of you who are worried about the rand going up hurting your SA investments, I've got good news for you. Platinum.

Summary for the busy executive

Strategic positioning is all about being where the puck is going to be.



Has gold bottomed here?

"If fiat money... falters, we may have to go back to oxen

as our medium of exchange.

In that event, I trust, the Federal Reserve...

will have an adequate inventory of oxen."


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Gold is found in nature in quartz veins

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