GOLD
Trader Rog Predicts $502.30 Gold by December 2004
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GOLD
Trader Rog Predicts $502.30 Gold by December 2004
The charts of the gold price and the gold share indices are showing signs of life, and it is important that we get to the bottom of what this might be implying.
We've devoted a lot of space to this topic in commentaries over the past few months, but it's very important and warrants another visit at this time.
I am writing this on Bastille Day, so a bit of French History, if you please. History does repeat itself, with variations. For several hundred years, the French used the livre as a currency.
The gold chart below is clearly in a bull trend is bouncing up off rising trendline (Note most recent new high)
Recently here in Ireland there has been a sad news story which has interesting parallels with the global economy. It concerned that very old confidence trick or financial scam of a 'pyramid scheme' or a 'pyramid selling scheme'.
Recently here in Ireland there has been a sad news story which has interesting parallels with the global economy. It concerned that very old confidence trick or financial scam of a 'pyramid scheme' or a 'pyramid selling scheme'.
Recently I made mention of the fact that we are in the deflationary phase of the 60-year (average) economic long-wave known as the K-wave.
There are some pretty cool indicators out there. But one of the most useful and most simple is the slope of the yield curve.
Gold is the first, and most frequently mentioned metal in the Bible, as at Genesis 2:11. From the beginning, it has been a noble metal, highly valued for its weight, rarity, durable non-tarnishing luster, shimmering beauty, ductility, and malleability.
In the first few weeks of writing my report on silver stocks, a number of readers brought many new silver companies to my attention. Nevada Pacific Gold (NPG) was one of them that stood out of the crowd, and was brought to my attention by one reader.
About 40 weeks ago, I produced a report on 17 silver stocks for Gold-Eagle.com. It rocked the silver stock market. Every silver junior stock listed was up in the following week, and every major silver stock was down the following week. Why? Because for the
Received this message from a member of my investment forum who is currently on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange :
Last year at around this time we asked the question: "Has a bear market started yet?" We thought this was a reasonable question because the NYSE advance-decline line had been trending higher for three years and several important sectors of the market were clear
Introduction
In an environment of low interest rates (low yields on cash savings), a Primary Bear Market, and higher than reported rate of price inflation, the single most important issue being faced by ageing Baby Boomers today is "cash flow".
Some may regard this article as a bit "off-the-wall", but I have decided to write it anyway. In the past couple of weeks, three apparently random occurrences have converged at a single point, and this stretches the "coincidence" argument a bit thin.
Of all the sacrosanct, everyone bow down and worship; the Dow 30 Industrials, are the stocks that set the trend for the stock market in America.
In general, when one thinks about support in a market it usually means the last place where there was significant buying pressure as in "the stock market pulled back and I bought at support." But the support I am going to talk about today is of a more stealthy
This article has been written specifically for those people who are grappling with the conundrum regarding whether we are facing an era of inflation, deflation or stagflation.
A tumultuous several weeks for currencies, bonds, precious metals, and energy. Exaggerated claims about a robust US Economic recovery have arrived in recent jobs reports. Nevermind seasonality lifts and assumed (imputed) new business creation.
From 1973 to 1981 the inflation rate in the U.S. averaged 9.2% per year ! The Fed raising interest rates during this time, on balance did nothing! Why?
The correction from January was traumatic BUT this is NOT a panic sell area but a HUGE buying opportunity. In the case of the JSE Gold index it marks the final stage of the massive sideways base from April last year.
If one monitors the relationship between investments that have a high "beta" (volatility relative to the overall market) and those that have a low beta one would anticipate the high beta investments to point the way to the market's Primary Trend.
For many months now I have been spending many long, enjoyable and fruitful hours reading hundreds of excellent essays in the modern day equivalents of the public library.
According to the Financial Times, "the end of gold as an investment has come a little closer." The op-ed writer reached this conclusion in a 4/16/04 editorial as he pondered the significance of the withdrawal of NM Rothschild from gold dealings at the London Fi
Overall Conclusion
Talk of deflation has become popular once again.