Gold, Silver, & Gold Stocks: Modest Pain

Gold Prices

 

Within wave *v*, all of wave $i$ ended at the spike high of 1613.30, and we are now falling in wave $ii$.

Our retracement levels for all of wave $ii$ remain at:

50% = 1529.80;

61.8% = 1510.00.

The current low of 1536.40 is still a bit short of our 50% retracement level of 1529.80, so we probably should expect a little more weakness before all of wave $ii$ ends.

Wave $ii$ in gold may be forming a 3 wave pattern with wave ^a^ ending at 1536.40, which we have now shown on our Daily Gold Chart as our alternate count.

In this count we could rallying in wave ^b^, which maybe now already be complete at the 1588.40 high!

After wave ^b^ ends we should expect one more drop in wave ^c^, below the 1536.40 low, to complete all of wave $ii$.

Silver and the GDX have all dropped within their retracement levels for their respective corrections, however, so there is an outside chance that wave $ii$ in gold could be complete at the 1536.40 low.

Once wave $ii$ ends we expect a very sharp rally in higher in wave $iii$.

One current projection for the end of wave *v* and wave .iii. is:

.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1704.40.

Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!

Silver Prices

We have completed wave $i$ of ^iii^ at the 18.89 high.

We are falling in wave $ii$, which has the following retracement levels:

50% = 17.73;

61.8% = 17.46.

We have now entered our retracement zone, so we need to be on guard for the end of wave $ii$ at the 17.59 low, although we have shown an alternate count on the Daily Silver Chart that is suggesting that wave $ii$ is still underway.

In this count we should expect to revisit the 17.59 low one more time before all of wave $ii$ ends.

We will provide our initial projection for the end of wave $iii$ when we are sure that all of wave $ii$ is complete.

Our initial projection for the end of all of wave ^iii^ is:

^iii^ = 1.618^i^ = 25.44.  

Trading Recommendation: Long silver. Use a put as a stop.

Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!

GDX, HUI, & XAU: 

   

The good news:  Unlike gold, our GDX count only has it heading back only a bit lower, to about the 27.68 level.

That should complete all of wave -ii-.

Our initial projection for the end of wave -iii- is: 34.28.

      

With our current gold count, it is possible that wave (iii) in the GDX is still underway.

In this case our target for the end of wave (iii) is:  36.42

Longer term our first projection for the end of wave 3 is: 48.95

HUI:

We completed wave (ii), at the 131.12 low, and are now rallying in wave (iii). Within wave (iii), wave i ended at 180.22 and wave ii at 146.51 and we are now rallying in wave iii, which has the following projections:

iii = 1.618i = 225.92;

iii = 2.618i = 275.05.

In the short term a run to 286.05 seems likely.

XAU:

We completed wave (ii) at the 60.59 low, and are now rallying in wave (iii). Within wave (iii), completed wave -i- at 80.76 and wave -ii- at 65.85 and are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has the following projections:

-iii- = 1.618-i- = 98.49;

-iii- = 2.618-i- = 118.66.

In the short term a run to 101.76 seems likely.

Trading Recommendation: We continue to suggest buying all of the above gold stocks and indices, for a long-term hold.

Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSR, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

Free Offer For Gold-Eagle Readers:  Please send me an Email to [email protected] and I’ll send you some free key updates and exciting trade alerts!

Thank-you!

Captain Ewave & Crew

Email: [email protected]

Website: www.captainewave.com

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