Precious Metals Sector Update: Spectacular Advance Soon - Here's Why..

Technical Analyst & Author
February 10, 2025

The purpose of this Precious Metals sector update is to make two points clear in as short order as possible. The first is to explain why gold’s current powerful uptrend, that began less than a year ago, has much further to run. The second is to demonstrate that silver’s corresponding powerful uptrend has barely begun yet and that therefore silver and silver investments are outstandingly attractive now with almost everything to go for and also to point out that the related imminent powerful uptrend in Precious Metals stocks has not even started yet, but is about to.

With regards to the first point, consider the following long-term arithmetic gold chart going back to the start of this millenium, i.e. to the start of the year 2000. It looks like gold has risen quite a lot over the past year, doesn’t it?...

Now look at a chart for the same time period on a log scale – see the difference? Compared to the Great 2000’s bull market in proportional terms, i.e. in percentage terms, gold has hardly risen at all over the past year. This means that this major uptrend is still in its early stages and has much, much further to go, hardly surprising considering that under a year ago it broke out of a massive 12-year long consolidation pattern and it’s even less surprising when you also consider that with currencies collapsing due to Central Bank profligacy, we are headed in the direction of hyperinflation, which of course also means that the uptrend could accelerate dramatically to the upside.

Now to the second point. We see on gold’s 6-year chart that, having broken out of the massive 12-year Cup & Handle consolidation pattern under a year ago, gold is now forging ahead within a powerful uptrend and we also see that it found support at the lower rail of this channel at the end of last year which launched it into the current upleg.

But what about silver? While gold has been romping ahead over the past year, silver has been “dragging its feet” and has scarcely gotten above its 2020 and 2021 highs, as we can see on its latest 6-year chart below. However, this is not a cause for concern for silver investors because, as we can see on the chart, it has just poked its nose out of the top of a big bullish Bowl pattern that has built out since mid-2020 that promises to slingshot silver initially to resistance at its 2011 highs at $50 and in any case it is perfectly normal for gold to take the lead during the early stages of a sector advance. We should also be cognizant of the fact that the sideways pattern that has formed in silver over the past 8 months or so with it perched just above the boundary of the Bowl may constitute the “Handle” of a big Cup & Handle consolidation pattern that has formed since mid-2020.

As for Precious Metals stocks we know that they have been seriously underperforming gold for the past year, but again, we see on the 6-year chart for GDX that it is in the latest stages of a big Cup & Handle consolidation pattern that is remarkably similar to the one that has formed in silver over the same period, but in the case of GDX it has yet to break out of it. The importance of this cannot be overstated – it means that with regards to Precious Metals stocks there is everything to go for once GDX breaks out the top of this big Bowl pattern it can be expected to slingshot higher resulting in spectacular gains in many PM stocks, especially in large and mid-cap stock in the early stages in the early stages of the runup.

What about the argument and the fear that the stock market is going to crash and take down the PM sector with it? This is an argument that keeps replaying like one of those old 78 rpm records that is set to replay endlessly. It doesn’t look like it’s going to happen. Here’s why – roughly 90% of the stock market is now owned by the wealthiest 1 to 2% of the population who have the most political power and ability to exert influence. The system is therefore organized to protect their interests and the way it works is that the Fed creates new money in ever increasing amounts to backstop the increasingly fragile debt market to stop it imploding and in this manner protect the stock market. The new money eventually feeds through into higher inflation so that the middle and lower classes end up footing the bill for it all. This is why we are headed for hyperinflation, because perpetuation of the current system best serves the interests of the ruling class for as long as possible.

The late December bottom in the Precious Metals sector was called exactly almost to the day in the article ROLL UP, ROLL UP FOLKS FOR THE GREAT END OF YEAR PRECIOUS METALS STOCKS CLEARANCE SALE.

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Clive Maund

Clive P. Maund’s interest in markets started when, as an aimless youth searching for direction in his mid-20’s, he inherited some money. Unfortunately it was not enough to live a utopian lifestyle as a playboy or retire very young. Therefore on the advice of his brother, he bought a load of British Petroleum stock, which promptly went up 20% in the space of a few weeks. Clive sold them at the top…which really fired his imagination. The prospect of being able to buy securities and sell them later at a higher price, and make money for doing little or no work was most attractive – and so the quest began, especially as he had been further stoked up by watching from the sidelines with a mixture of fascination and envy as fortunes were made in the roaring gold and silver bull market of the late 70’s.

Clive furthered his education in Technical Analysis or charting by ordering various good books from the US and by applying what he learned at work on an everyday basis. He also obtained the UK Society of Technical Analysts’ Diploma.

The years following 2005 saw the boom phase of the Gold and Silver bull market, until they peaked in late 2011. While there is ongoing debate about whether that was the final high, it is not believed to be because of the continuing global debasement of fiat currency. The bear market since 2011 is viewed as being very similar to the 2-year reaction in the mid-70’s, which was preceded by a powerful advance and was followed by a gigantic parabolic price ramp. Moreover, Precious Metals should come back into their own when the various asset bubbles elsewhere burst, which looks set to happen anytime soon.

Visit Clive at his website: CliveMaund.com


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