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Aubie Baltin CFA, CTA, CFP, PhD

Aubie Baltin CFA, CTA, CFP, PhD Articles

Both the Economy and Stock Markets are unfolding, almost as if on cue to the play I have been writing during the last year or so. I am not sure whether to be happy or sad as more and more analysts begin to see the dangers that lie beneath...
Back in late 1979, the lineups to buy Gold looked more like lineups to buy tickets to the latest rock concert. There they stood all wrapped up in their parkas and bulky sweaters wearing anything from construction boots to overshoes; there...
In my letters dating back to the beginning of 2007, I selected a credit spread between Junk Bonds and Treasuries (buy Treasuries, short Junk Bonds) as my #1 best, lowest risk SURE THING trade. The spread has increased from a near all time...
The Obvious Is Obviously Wrong
The Kondratieff Wave
We are currently in the early stages of the most serious financial crisis since 1929. Not only is there great danger lurking in the ever larger and increasing shadows, but the potential surprises are not even recognized, let alone being...
WHAT'S THE REAL PROBLEM
There's the Housing Bubble and the Commercial Office Space Bubble. There's the Bond Market Bubble and its two progenies, the Junk Bond Market Bubble and the emerging Market Debt Bubble. There's the $3.00 a gallon price you see at the pump...
What is a Black Swan? Before the discovery of Australia, empirical evidence told us that all swans were white and that belief lasted for 100s of years until a Black Swan was spotted in the wilds of Australia. A Black Swan is a sudden...
INTEREST RATES: Before we can even begin to discuss interest rates intelligently, we must first define what it is that we are actually talking about, since it appears that all the talking Media Heads, Wall Street analysts and Economists...

Small amounts of natural gold were found in Spanish caves used by the Paleolithic Man about 40,000 B.C.

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