Gold Editorials & Commentary

Now that the Fed and the Treasury Department have clumsily come to the rescue of the financial titans of Wall Street, it is now politically dangerous to resist similar pleas from just about everybody else.

The prevailing force-fed sentiment is that the US financial sector has bottomed out, the worst is over, the mechanisms for remedy are here, and time to get back in the water for profound bargains again. Let me rebutt!

BIG GOLD: Gold has passed its 1980 nominal high. Why do you think it’s breaking out now?

In some ways life never seems to change. When you are 5 years-old you run around the back yard looking for Easter Eggs on Easter Sunday morning. You find an egg, open it up, and get excited by what is inside- then you ramble after another.

The $988.50 forecast in Update 17 for the peak of Large wave I was exceeded by a small margin.

Did I say that?

In some ways life never seems to change. When you are 5 years-old you run around the back yard looking for Easter Eggs on Easter Sunday morning. You find an egg, open it up, and get excited by what is inside- then you ramble after another.

I have been reading the independent views of Ian McAvity, as expressed in his letter “Deliberations” for more than 30 years and like me, he too is not afraid to tell it like it is.

GLD – sell signal this week.

As I contemplate the markets on this early Tuesday morning, it all seems so surreal. We have discussed many different aspects of the Precious Metals Sector in the first seven parts of this series, but we truly live in historic times.

Implausible as it may seem, gold shares, which have outperformed equity markets and most other asset classes over the past eight years, are out of favor.

How do you know when you’re through the looking glass?  A fairly good indication is when the price of gold, which normally moves up in response to monetary easing, instead plummets in reaction to one of the largest rate cuts in Fed history.  Apparently, yesterd

As the financial markets stare at the abyss, contemplate the cliff, suffering massive falls in selective stocks, a review of ‘Cliff Notes’ might be appropriate. The financial maelstrom is gathering force and fury.

The bail out of Bear Sterns has validated all the worst fears and forecasts expressed in these newsletters over the past few years.

The two commodities which are the principal material pillars of the world economy and vital to its functioning are iron ore and oil.

ETF’s have been part of the investment scene for almost two decades. There are currently over 630 different ETF’s.

If I have learned one thing in the 40 odd years that I have been watching the markets, it is this: Parabolic rises culminate in crashes. It’s a biological phenomenon.

This week, as the financial sector began to give way under the unbearable weight of bad mortgage debt, the Federal Reserve stepped in to save the day. At least that’s what it says in the script.

GLD – on IP buy signal.

Robert Johnson- CROSSROADS

http://youtube.com/watch?v=Yd60nI4sa9A

Clapton and Mayer- CROSSROADS

About a week ago we called a short-term top in gold and silver, and although we got one, the subsequent reaction has turned out to be very muted.

The USDollar DX index has hit my 72 target on this latest leg of its breakdown. The news is all wretched. Iran, Nigeria, and even tiny Vietnam are rebelling against the crippled buck.

Robert Johnson- CROSSROADS

http://youtube.com/watch?v=Yd60nI4sa9A

Clapton and Mayer- CROSSROADS

On February 12 th 2008, this analyst took a decision that prevarication was no longer an option. A judgement call was needed and the judgement call was made, as follows:

In the update last weekend we were looking for a correction back across the trend channel shown on the 1-year chart below, probably to the $910 area.

Prior to my last appearance on CNBC in October 2007, I had made more than 50 appearances on the network over the prior two years.

GLD – on IP buy signal.

Despite some volatile daily moves on the chart this past week, it looks like a sideways trend, even possibly a topping action. Let’s see.

GOLD

LONG TERM

Both the Economy and Stock Markets are unfolding, almost as if on cue to the play I have been writing during the last year or so.