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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

Pardon the jumpy style, not burdened by depth, preferring breadth instead. The events of the last few days continue to be remarkable, alarming, chaotic, surreal, and desperate.

WHAT’S HAPPENED TO COMMON SENSE



Has no one noticed “That doing more of the same as what got you into trouble in the first place, only makes the problem worse?”

Since the Bear Stearns bailout at the end of the first quarter, the backdrop for gold has unfolded in a more positive way than almost any of its proponents could have imagined.

In spite of the economy and stock markets behaving almost exactly as I have been expecting them too for over a year now, I have received quite a few emails basically asking for a little hand holding.

“This, indeed, is an odd election: It pits a candidate who should have been president eight years ago against a candidate who should be president eight years from now,” Tom Gallagher in Abelson’s column, Barron’s.<

The expression “Irrational exuberance” was originated by Alan Greenspan to describe a runaway stock market, and was made famous by Prof. Robert Schiller in his bestselling book.


Privatizing profits, socializing losses

Pardon the brief and jumpy style, laced with more emotion than usual. The events of the last few days have been remarkable, alarming, chaotic, and surreal.

Here is our monthly update on major indexes for our international investors.



Another month has gone by, and not much has changed as all global indexes we track are on long term sell signals.

This article was written just prior to the announcement of the rejection of the bailout bill but has been qualified to reflect current conditions. Celebrate today's victory!





GLD – on buy signal.


“Two legs bad, four legs good!”

The United States has transformed itself, the most radical degraded aspects having occurred in the last eight years.

I just got the chance to read the op-ed penned by Pimco's Bill Gross in this morning's Washington Pos

The Treasury Secretary Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke bailout plan calls for $700 billion in taxpayer funds to be used to purchase assets that will in all likelihood be worth considerably less in the future.

There is nothing more dangerous than when those responsible for a nation’s troubles are believed to be its savior.

NIGHTMARE ON WALL STREET

Many investors in the Precious Metals sector are worried that the "bailout plan" announced yesterday will resolve the crisis with the effect that things will return to normal and gold and silver will as a result go into retreat onc

When things go wrong with one’s Elliott Wave count, it normally means that there is an error in the prior wave count.


The idea that the US Government can “bail out” those whose financial failure seems likely to trigger an implosion of the derivatives market needs to be seen in light of two factors:

We are in historically unprecedented times. The foundation is being laid for a default of USTreasurys in the wake of the greatest regulatory failure in modern history, and the collapse of the US financial system.

THE OBVIOUS IS OBVIOUSLY WRONG

Gold Market Update



GLD – on sell signal.

More crucial than ever, observers must take the broader perspective that avoids overhearing the party on Wall Street. They know not what they celebrate. It is their demise.

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The purity of gold is measured in carat weight.

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